| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | L | Iowa | 0-40 | 1385.6 | +27.5 | 1413.2 | 2.1% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | L | Illinois State | 24-28 | 1413.2 | -25.4 | 1387.8 | 63.4% |
| 3 | Sep 20 2026 | L | Arizona | 17-42 | 1387.8 | +0.8 | 1388.6 | 4.9% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | L | Georgia State | 14-35 | 1388.6 | +-0.0 | 1388.6 | 27.8% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | L | Air Force | 7-28 | 1397.0 | -15.1 | 1382.0 | 25.8% |